About Me

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I have been a racing fan for nearly 30 years, first starting when my grandmother (who lived in Louisville, Kentucky) took me to the 100th running of the Kentucky Derby at historic Churchill Downs. But it has been in the last 20 years that my interest has turned more "serious" as a handicapper.

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Dec 19 Simulcast Picks

AQUEDUCT

    1-AQU              6f         Claiming                                              5 – Wall of Worry                     6/5                   
Rudy Rod 28% on the turn back angle
      3-AQU              1m/70   AOC                                                     6 – Parent’s Honor                   2/1                   
Stalking trip for likely favorite / Bullet workout points out
      5-AQU              AOC                                                                 7 – Homeboykris                      7/5*              
Grade 1 winner at 2 / Anything close to best effort is a daylight winner today
      8-AQU              8f         Forty Niner Stakes                               6 – Understatement**                  9/5          
AQU BEST:  4-for-4 on Aqu inner / Liftin bEST / Stalks or lead / Pletcher-Cohen winning 31% together

FAIR GROUNDS

      1-FG                 1m/70   Claiming nw2L                                                6 – Battle Royal                       5/2*              
Lone entry to NOT have seen the 2L level / Bullet work
      4-FG                 6f         Claiming                                              1 – Recounted                          2/1*             
LONE Speed on the rail….. L-O-N-G gone
      5-FG     Turf      8.5f       Claiming                                              1 – Attempted Humor               7/2                   
Back class / Great connections / Trouble in LR
      7-FG     Turf      8.5f       Maiden Special                                   10 – Hey Carmen                     5/2*              
Nice work to prep for this / Stalk and finish at CD on the turf points out big time chance here today
      9-FG     Turf      8f         Allowance                                           2 – Quarter Given                    7/2                   
Looks solid based on Ca form / Speed figures are solid and his lone turf start was good

HOLLYWOOD

      1-HOL               6f         Claiming                                              5 – Peacock Alliance               4/1                   
Speed on the drop for upset rider (J-T @ $5.58 ROI)
      2-HOL               5.5f       Maiden Claiming                                 3 – Steve’s Blue Sky                 2/1*             
Early speed – Class drop from MSW / Twice ran 60+ BSF vs. MSW, rest of the field has yet to see a 60
      3-HOL               8.5f       Claiming                                              1 – Living Our Dream               9/5                   
Inside post (24% winners) / Bejarano on board for both career wins (J-T @ 31%) / Speed to steal it or stalk
      4-HOL               7f         Claiming nw2L                                                8 – Big Revolution                   2/1*             
Lightly raced / Never seen 2L or a tag / All 3 starts SOLID BSF / Hot trainer
      8-HOL               7.5f       The On Trust H’Cap                             1 – Cayambe                            3/1*             
Has fired fresh previously / Stakes winner (only one in the field!) drops out of KEY stakes (next-out G 1 winner) / Gets top rider Rosario / HFC & Dst

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